Random Political Predictions
Here are some predictions I have on various political issues and races. I’d love to hear your thoughts and responses.
US Presidential Race – Hillary Clinton will be the next President. Obama will be a reasonable challenger, but in addition to his lack of experience, he lacks the ability to deliver a political punch. There is no Republican who can win the election. Rudy has many strengths, but his foreign policies are more extreme than Bush’s. I would say Romney is the best candidate, but his Mormon religion and his past flipping on issues will limit his strength in mobilizing the conservative base. So Hillary will win and it’s unfortunate because she’s not a good candidate. She will be like Jean Chrétien; in leadership for the win and for the power.
Canada – The Liberals will force an election in the spring and nothing will change. The Conservatives will win more seats, at the Liberals’ expense, but will not win a majority. As solid as most of their policies are, they have gone backwards in convincing the public that they care. In Canada, you have to be seen as caring about people and caring about the environment. They need to initiate their own policy addressing homelessness and make some actual and measurable improvements on Canada’s environmental record; Kyoto deal or not.
Nova Scotia – Whenever Dexter decides to take down Rodney he will. And the NDP will win, likely a minority. The bad news here is that the NDP cannot say no. They are a party made up of special interest groups. There are lots of ways to spend money and it’s easy to raise taxes to cover the expenses, but the role of government is to make tough decisions and do what’s in the best interest of society as a whole. As they’ve shown in other provinces where they’ve been elected, the NDP cannot do what’s necessary. The good news is that 1 term should be enough to prove that to the people of Nova Scotia. We have a hard enough time as it is providing a good environment for business. Going Orange would only make that worse.
Halifax – There’s been a lot of noise recently about the Citizens for Halifax group and the role they intend to play in influencing municipal politics. While I think it’s great that people are taking an active role in the process, people generally don’t care about Councilors and School Board Members, I am afraid the group may try to overstep their bounds of influence. I’m all for progress and working towards a vision for the city. But with vocal members like Victor Syperek and Don Mills, I have to wonder if they’re just Peter Kelly-hating. Thus far all of their events have been fundraisers which casts doubt in my mind on makeup of the group. Will the poor have a voice? Without a baseline of values and approach for how to make decisions, on what basis will they resolve differences? Isn’t their “democratic” voting on endorsements simply a microcosm for the city-wide election? Or is the vote of people whose voices “should matter”?
Your thoughts?
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This entry was posted on December 8, 2007 at 1:16 pm and is filed under Conservatives, Halifax, US foreign policy, environment, politics. You can subscribe via RSS 2.0 feed to this post's comments.
Tags: Barack Obama, Canada, Citizens for Halifax, Darrell Dexter, Don Mills, Halifax, Hillary Clinton, Jean Chretien, Mitt Romney, NDP, Nova Scotia, Peter Kelly, Rodney MacDonald, Rudy Giuliani, Victor Syperek
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